Macro Prediction Markets on PredictAsiaX
Macro prediction markets on PredictAsiaX let you take direct positions on scheduled economic data releases. Will the next US CPI print above 3.0 percent. Will the Fed cut 25 bps at the next meeting. Will the ECB match. Because macro releases move most risk assets globally, macro markets are useful both for speculation and for hedging specific event risk in a portfolio. We're Asia's first multi-chain USDT prediction market exchange, with strong Asian macro coverage (China GDP and CPI and PMI, Japan CPI and BOJ, Korea rate decisions, India CPI) alongside US and EU macro.
Which macro events we list
The catalog covers US data (CPI, PCE, jobs report, GDP), Eurozone (CPI, ECB rate decisions), Japan (CPI, BOJ decisions), Korea (rate decisions), China (GDP, CPI, PMI), and India (CPI). Each market resolves on the official release timestamp with the source clearly stated when the market opens.
How macro market prices work
Prices reflect the market consensus expectation for the release. If a CPI market on 'Will next month's US CPI print above 3.0 percent' trades at 0.63, the market is estimating 63 percent probability of a print above 3.0. Traders with a differentiated view can take a directional position at the market price and profit if their view is right.
How to use macro markets for hedging
If your business or portfolio has exposure to a specific macro outcome, buy the market that pays out on the adverse outcome. If you export to a country and worry about a currency-negative central bank decision, the payout on the adverse contract offsets your business drawdown. This is one of the main institutional uses of macro prediction markets.
How macro markets settle
Every macro market states its source at open. Primary sources are the official release from the relevant agency (BLS, BEA, Fed, ECB, BOJ, PBOC websites) with a wire-service confirmation (Reuters, Bloomberg terminal, Kyodo, Xinhua) as backup. Resolutions include the source link and timestamp.
Frequently asked questions
Are Asian macro releases covered
Yes. China GDP and PMI, Japan CPI and BOJ decisions, Korea rate decisions, and India CPI are all standard catalog. Asian macro coverage is one of our anchor differentiators as an Asia-first exchange.
What's the fastest macro release traded
US CPI and Nonfarm Payrolls resolve within seconds of the official release. Fast Markets (our minute-resolution product) is available around headline releases for high-frequency trading.
Can I trade central bank decisions
Yes. FOMC meetings, ECB, BOJ, BOE, and PBOC decisions are all standard catalog. Markets typically ask discrete questions such as 'Will the FOMC cut 25 bps at the next meeting' rather than continuous rate path questions.
What's the minimum position size on a macro market
About 10 USDT of exposure once network fees are covered. Headline macro markets support positions in the tens of thousands of USDT before spreads widen.