Platform Overview

How PredictAsiaX Works

Asia's first multi-chain USDT prediction market exchange — built for traders, creators, and liquidity providers.

What is a Prediction Market?

A financial instrument that prices the probability of a future event — not just its direction.

Prediction markets convert collective belief into a tradeable price. Each contract represents a question with a binary outcome — YES or NO. The market price reflects the crowd's consensus probability at any given moment.

Unlike static markets, you can enter and exit freely before settlement. If you buy YES at 0.20 and the market moves to 0.40, you have doubled your position value — without waiting for the outcome to resolve.

  • Trade probability, not just direction. Contracts price the likelihood of an event, giving you a richer signal than a simple up/down call.
  • Enter and exit anytime. Positions can be closed before settlement to lock in gains or cut losses — no obligation to hold to expiry.
  • Information-dense pricing. Live prices aggregate real-time signals, whale flows, sentiment, and macro data — all priced into a single number.
Binary Market — Live
Will BTC close above $70,000 by end of the week?
YES — 63%NO — 37%
Current YES priceCurrent NO price
0.630.37
Volume$128,400 USDT
Traders847
Closes in2d 14h 33m

How to Trade

Four steps from market discovery to closing a position.

01
Find a Market

Browse markets across crypto, macro, politics, and fast rounds. Use the Opportunity Scanner and Signals layer to identify high-conviction setups.

02
Buy YES or NO

Choose your side and enter your USDT amount. The market prices your position in real time — you see the exact cost and expected payout before confirming.

03
Track Live P&L

Your dashboard shows average entry price, current market price, holdings value, and live P&L in both USDT and percentage — updated in real time.

04
Close or Hold to Settlement

Exit early to lock in gains at any time, or hold to settlement for full binary payout. Either path is always available before the market closes.

The Creator System

Become the house. Post liquidity, capture spread, and keep what traders lose — minus a flat 2% platform fee.

Any verified user can become a Creator. You define the question, post a deposit (which becomes your market's liquidity pool), and submit for review. Once live, you are the market maker — traders bet against your pool. You keep every dollar traders lose, minus a flat 2% platform edge. Settlement returns your deposit minus net P&L, automatically.

Creators are scored daily on 9 factors including resolution accuracy, cumulative volume, and network depth. Higher tiers don't change your fee — they unlock bigger market caps, priority listing, featured banners, and visibility boosts that drive more trading volume to your markets. The top tier (Legend) earns co-marketing support and a direct revenue share agreement on top of standard market maker P&L.

TierVisibility BoostActive MarketsPerks
RookieBaselineUp to 3 activeBasic analytics
Maker+5% heatUp to 10 activePriority listing
Pro+10% heatUp to 25 activeFeatured banner + signals
Elite+20% heatUnlimitedCustom branding + API
Legend+30% heatUnlimitedCo-marketing + revenue share

Tier is computed daily from creator score. Min scores to unlock: Maker 0.11+ · Pro 0.22+ · Elite 0.44+ · Legend 0.78+. Score factors include resolution accuracy (Brier), volume, network depth, retention, and diversity.

Plus: Earn from your network

Refer friends with your Creator link. Two tracks pay automatically — Creator Referral when they bet on markets you created, Platform Referral when they bet on other creators' markets. Auto-paid every 5 seconds.

Creator Referral — your own markets

When friends bet on markets you created, you keep a share of the platform fee they pay (the 2% house edge) — declining over time: 7% of that fee for months 1–3, 4% for months 4–12, then 1% forever. Example: friend trades $1,000 → fee is $20 → you get $1.40 in months 1–3. Calendar-month decay, automatic, no claim step.

Platform Referral — other creators' markets

When friends bet on any other creator's market, you earn a tier-based cut of the platform fee they pay (not of their trade size), based on your last-30-day trading volume. T1 ($1k+) 8% of fee, T2 ($50k+) 12%, T3 ($500k+) 15%, T4 ($5M+) 18%. Example: friend trades $1,000 → fee is $20 → T1 referrer gets $1.60 (= 8% × $20). Friends also get a 5% fee discount on every trade.

Account independence — anti-abuse

Both tracks enforce four hard checks: different IP, different device, different email, and your friend's account age ≥ 30 days. Any check that fails — no commission paid. Per-pair payout is also capped by your friend's net loss (you can't earn more than they've actually lost), and platform commission across all your referrals is capped on a 30-day rolling window.

Earn with Liquidity Provision

Deposit USDT into the liquidity pool and earn a share of every market round — without taking directional risk.

Every prediction market round generates a loser pool — the capital deposited by traders who held the losing side. A portion of this pool is distributed to liquidity providers proportional to their share.

You are not taking directional positions. Your LP position earns from the structural flow of the platform, not from any individual market result. The longer you lock, the higher your earnings multiplier.

12%
of every loser pool distributed to LP holders each round
5%
of loser pool allocated to the insurance fund as first-loss reserve for LPs
2.2x
maximum earnings multiplier on 90-day locked deposits
TierLock PeriodMultiplier
FlexibleNo lock-up1x
30-Day30 days1.5x
90-Day90 days2.2x
Earnings are distributed after each settled round. Withdrawals from locked tiers are available only after the lock period expires. The insurance fund is designed to absorb settlement losses on the loser pool before they reach LP capital, but no reserve is unlimited — see /terms for the full risk description.

PAX Cashback

Earn PAX on your trading fees during our launch program. Time-limited. Terms & Conditions apply.

During the launch program, a percentage of the platform fee you pay on eligible trades is returned to you as PAX tokens, credited directly to your on-platform balance. There is nothing to claim manually today — the credit lands automatically after each qualifying trade settles.

This is a limited-time launch promotion. Eligible market scope, per-user caps, and the total program size are governed by our Terms & Conditions. The program automatically closes when the total distribution pool is exhausted, and can be adjusted, paused, or ended by us at any time in accordance with the T&C.

Time-limited
Launch program. Ends when the total PAX pool is exhausted or at our discretion under the T&C.
Auto-credited
PAX lands in your on-platform balance after trade settlement. No manual claim required — credit lands automatically.
T&C apply
Eligible market scope, per-user caps, and program details are set out in the Terms. Read the Terms.
RuleDetail
Eligible marketsStandard prediction markets on this platform. Certain product surfaces are excluded — see the Terms & Conditions for the current eligible list.
RateA percentage of the platform fee you paid on a qualifying trade, at our published rate. The rate is subject to change under the T&C.
Per-user capEach user may earn cashback up to a fixed lifetime PAX amount and a fixed number of qualifying trades during the program window.
Program capThe total pool of PAX distributed across all users during the promotion is capped. Once the pool is exhausted, cashback ends automatically.
Auto-closeThe program closes automatically when the pool cap is reached and can be paused, adjusted, or ended by us at any time under the T&C.
Abuse / botsMulti-account, self-trading, wash trading, and any activity intended to game the promo will be disqualified and cashback clawed back.
This section is a plain-language summary. The binding rules — including the current eligible market scope, exact rates, caps, and dispute handling — live in our Terms & Conditions. If anything on this page conflicts with the Terms, the Terms control.

Common Questions

When a market closes, the outcome is confirmed against reference data and verified by our operations team before any payout moves. The resolved price and a verifiable proof hash are published in the Trade Explorer, so any user can audit exactly how — and at what price — a market was decided.
Every balance is real USDT, settled on-chain. Winning positions are credited on market resolution. A segregated insurance fund — financed by a fixed share of every settled market — is designed to absorb settlement mismatch and reduce the chance that a payout is delayed by a temporary liquidity gap. Large or high-risk withdrawals may enter manual review — see /terms Section 6 for the full withdrawal policy.
PredictAsiaX uses market-based pricing: the cost of a position reflects live demand and is shown in the price before you confirm — there are no hidden fees added afterward. Markets opened by Creators carry a small creator fee, set per market and disclosed up front.
Deposits and withdrawals are in USDT, supported on Polygon and TRC20. Deposits are credited automatically once confirmed on-chain. Withdrawals are sent to your own wallet and carry only the network fee — currently $0.50 on Polygon and $1.50 on TRC20.
Each market price reflects the crowd's live consensus on how likely an outcome is. It moves as traders buy and sell YES or NO — a price of 0.63 means the market currently prices that outcome at about 63% probability.
Markets are monitored continuously for coordinated betting, abnormal trade velocity, and manipulation attempts. Any contested settlement can be raised through a formal dispute window and reviewed against the published settlement proof.
A Creator is a verified user who opens new prediction markets. Creators define the question, expiry, and category, then earn a fee on every trade in their market. Creators are ranked by resolution accuracy and trading volume, which sets their tier and fee rate.
PredictAsiaX is an Asia-focused platform operating in jurisdictions that permit prediction-market activity. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local regulations before trading.