Geopolitics • Conflict
Will there be a military conflict involving Taiwan in 2026?
A declared armed conflict directly involving Taiwan before end of 2026.
OpenSettles:31 Dec 2026, 00:00
Probability & Markers
5.00% YES▲ 0%@ $0.05
Live YES probability with on-chart catalyst markers.
5.0%
Source: PredictAsiaX
Oct 10 08:07Now
News Whale Signal
ChanceAwaiting first trade
YE
Yes
No trades yet
5%
NO
No
No trades yet
95%
PAX AI is reading background sources…
Rules & Resolution
A declared armed conflict directly involving Taiwan before end of 2026.
Resolution sourceBinary Event By Date
Settlement31 Dec 2026 00:00 UTC
Dispute window24 hours after settlement
CategoryPolitics
Settled inUSDT
PAX publishes a signed cryptographic proof at settlement. Any user may verify the oracle signature client-side or open a dispute during the window.
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Politics · YES probability
5%
Volume$0
Probability market · take a YES or NO position without directional buy/sell prompts.
Wallet$0.00
Platform USDT$0.00
Paper Balance$0.00
If correctWin 100.00 USDT(+1900%)
Your fee2.00%·
Background
A declared armed conflict directly involving Taiwan before end of 2026. The market resolves by 2026-12-31 (UTC) and is settled using Reuters / AP / news consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing PredictAsiaX data. Not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · cached